作者
Shuai Hu, Yue Xiang, Hongcai Zhang, Shanyi Xie, Jianhua Li, Chenghong Gu, Wei Sun, Junyong Liu
发表日期
2021/7/1
期刊
Applied Energy
卷号
293
页码范围
116951
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Wind power generation rapidly grows worldwide with declining costs and the pursuit of decarbonised energy systems. However, the utilization of wind energy remains challenging due to its strong stochastic nature. Accurate wind power forecasting is one of the effective ways to address this problem. Meteorological data are generally regarded as critical inputs for wind power forecasting. However, the direct use of numerical weather prediction in forecasting may not provide a high degree of accuracy due to unavoidable uncertainties, particularly for areas with complex topography. This study proposes a hybrid short-term wind power forecasting method, which integrates the corrected numerical weather prediction and spatial correlation into a Gaussian process. First, the Gaussian process model is built using the optimal combination of different kernel functions. Then, a correction model for the wind speed is designed …
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