作者
Ahmad Al-Douri, Vasiliki Kazantzi, Nancy Currie-Gregg, Mahmoud M El-Halwagi
发表日期
2021/3/1
期刊
Chemical Engineering Research and Design
卷号
167
页码范围
281-291
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Traditional analysis of a proposed process design uses average input values in the performance assessment model, thereby generating single-point estimates. The resulting estimates ignore reliability, availability, and maintainability (RAM) considerations, or assume a fixed value based on prior experience. As a result, a probabilistic view of the impact of equipment unavailability on process profitability is not considered. Recent works have proposed a financial framework for incorporating safety and sustainability considerations in the analysis of proposed designs. Based on this research, we propose a framework to integrate RAM aspects during the conceptual design stage in a probabilistic manner using Monte Carlo simulation. Subsequently, full distribution profiles of key process performance indicators are generated, including system and section availability, annual net profit, and return on investment (ROI …
引用总数
20212022202320242972