作者
José Francisco de Oliveira-Júnior, David Mendes, Szilard Szabo, Sudhir Kumar Singh, Punyawi Jamjareegulgarn, Kelvy Rosalvo Alencar Cardoso, Laszlo Bertalan, Marcos Vinicius da Silva, Alexandre Maniçoba da Rosa Ferraz Jardim, Jhon Lennon Bezerra da Silva, Gustavo Bastos Lyra, Marcel Carvalho Abreu, Washington Luiz Félix Correia Filho, Amaury de Sousa, Dimas de Barros Santiago, Iwldson Guilherme da Silva Santos, Vafaeva Khristina Maksudovna
发表日期
2024/1
期刊
Earth Systems and Environment
卷号
8
期号
1
页码范围
45-61
出版商
Springer International Publishing
简介
Several studies investigated the occurrence of fires in Africa with numerical modeling or applied statistics; however, only a few studies focused on the influence of El Niño on the fire risk using a coupled model. The study aimed to assess the influence of El Niño on wildfire dynamics in Africa using the SPEEDY-HYCOM model. El Niño events in the Eastern Tropical Pacific were classified via sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly based on a predefined climatology between 1961 and 2020 for the entire time series of SST, obtaining linear anomalies. The time series of the SST anomalies was created for the region between 5° N and 5° S and 110° W and 170° W. The events were defined in three consecutive 3-month periods as weak, moderate, and strong El Niño conditions. The Meteorological Fire Danger Index (MFDI) was applied to detect fire hazards. The MFDI simulated by the SPEEDY-HYCOM model for three …
学术搜索中的文章
JF de Oliveira-Júnior, D Mendes, S Szabo, SK Singh… - Earth Systems and Environment, 2024