作者
S Sp Pappas, L Ekonomou, P Karampelas, DC Karamousantas, SK Katsikas, GE Chatzarakis, PD Skafidas
发表日期
2010/3/1
期刊
Electric Power Systems Research
卷号
80
期号
3
页码范围
256-264
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Effective modeling and forecasting requires the efficient use of the information contained in the available data so that essential data properties can be extracted and projected into the future. As far as electricity demand load forecasting is concerned time series analysis has the advantage of being statistically adaptive to data characteristics compared to econometric methods which quite often are subject to errors and uncertainties in model specification and knowledge of causal variables. This paper presents a new method for electricity demand load forecasting using the multi-model partitioning theory and compares its performance with three other well established time series analysis techniques namely Corrected Akaike Information Criterion (AICC), Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) and Schwarz's Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). The suitability of the proposed method is illustrated through an application to …
引用总数
20112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024791677112517182125191712
学术搜索中的文章