作者
Ruey-Chyn Tsaur, Hsiao-Fan Wang, JIA-CHI O.-YANG
发表日期
2002/3
期刊
International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making
卷号
1
期号
01
页码范围
165-175
出版商
World Scientific Publishing Company
简介
Fuzzy regression model is an alternative to evaluate the relation between independent variables and dependent variable among the forecasting models when the data are not sufficient to identify the relation. Such phenomenon is significant especially for seasonal variation data for which large amount of data are required to show the pattern. However, few researches have been done on this issue. Because of its increasing importance in industries, in this study, we propose a method of applying fuzzy regression model for this purpose. By using two independent variables of preceding periodical data and index of time, the developed model not only shows the pattern of the seasonal variation, but also the yearly trend. From the results of the illustration, the average forecasting error is below 1.85% which, in comparison to the most commonly used Quadratic Trend Analysis of 2.91% and the Double Exponential …
引用总数
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学术搜索中的文章
RC Tsaur, HF Wang, JIACHI O.-YANG - International Journal of Information Technology & …, 2002