作者
Qiquan Shi, Jiaming Yin, Jiajun Cai, Andrzej Cichocki, Tatsuya Yokota, Lei Chen, Mingxuan Yuan, Jia Zeng
发表日期
2020/4/3
期刊
Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence
卷号
34
期号
04
页码范围
5758-5766
简介
This work proposes a novel approach for multiple time series forecasting. At first, multi-way delay embedding transform (MDT) is employed to represent time series as low-rank block Hankel tensors (BHT). Then, the higher-order tensors are projected to compressed core tensors by applying Tucker decomposition. At the same time, the generalized tensor Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) is explicitly used on consecutive core tensors to predict future samples. In this manner, the proposed approach tactically incorporates the unique advantages of MDT tensorization (to exploit mutual correlations) and tensor ARIMA coupled with low-rank Tucker decomposition into a unified framework. This framework exploits the low-rank structure of block Hankel tensors in the embedded space and captures the intrinsic correlations among multiple TS, which thus can improve the forecasting results, especially for multiple short time series. Experiments conducted on three public datasets and two industrial datasets verify that the proposed BHT-ARIMA effectively improves forecasting accuracy and reduces computational cost compared with the state-of-the-art methods.
引用总数
20202021202220232024318233017
学术搜索中的文章
Q Shi, J Yin, J Cai, A Cichocki, T Yokota, L Chen… - Proceedings of the AAAI Conference on Artificial …, 2020