作者
Isabelle Distinguin, Philippe Rous, Amine Tarazi
发表日期
2006/10
期刊
Journal of Financial Services Research
卷号
30
期号
2
页码范围
151-176
出版商
Kluwer Academic Publishers
简介
We assess the extent to which stock market information can be used to estimate leading indicators of bank financial distress. We specify a logit early warning model, designed for European banks, which tests if market based indicators add predictive value to models relying on accounting data. We also study the robustness of the link between market information and financial downgrading in the light of the safety net and asymmetric information hypotheses. Some of our results support the use of market-related indicators. Other results show that the accuracy of the predictive power depends on the extent to which bank liabilities are market traded.
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