作者
Eduardo Álvarez-Miranda, Camilo Campos-Valdés, Claudia Rahmann
发表日期
2015/9/1
期刊
Energy Conversion and Management
卷号
101
页码范围
94-105
出版商
Pergamon
简介
The complex processes involved in the determination of the availability of power from renewable energy sources, such as wind power, impose great challenges in the forecasting processes carried out by transmission system operators (TSOs). Nowadays, many of these TSOs use operation planning tools that take into account the uncertainty of the wind-power. However, most of these methods typically require strict assumptions about the probabilistic behavior of the forecast error, and usually ignore the dynamic nature of the forecasting process.
In this paper a methodological framework to obtain Robust Unit Commitment (UC) policies is presented; such methodology considers a novel scenario-based uncertainty model for wind power applications. The proposed method is composed by three main phases. The first two phases generate a sound wind-power forecast using a bootstrap predictive inference approach …
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E Álvarez-Miranda, C Campos-Valdés, C Rahmann - Energy Conversion and Management, 2015