作者
Ozgur Dedehayir, Martin Steinert
发表日期
2016/7/1
来源
Technological Forecasting and Social Change
卷号
108
页码范围
28-41
出版商
North-Holland
简介
The hype cycle model traces the evolution of technological innovations as they pass through successive stages pronounced by the peak, disappointment, and recovery of expectations. Since its introduction by Gartner nearly two decades ago, the model has received growing interest from practitioners, and more recently from scholars. Given the model's proclaimed capacity to forecast technological development, an important consideration for organizations in formulating marketing strategies, this paper provides a critical review of the hype cycle model by seeking evidence from Gartner's own technology databases for the manifestation of hype cycles. The results of our empirical work show incongruences connected with the reports of Gartner, which motivates us to consider possible future directions, whereby the notion of hype or hyped dynamics (though not necessarily the hype cycle model itself) can be captured in …
引用总数
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学术搜索中的文章
O Dedehayir, M Steinert - Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2016