作者
Davide Cannizzaro, Alessandro Aliberti, Lorenzo Bottaccioli, Enrico Macii, Andrea Acquaviva, Edoardo Patti
发表日期
2021/11/1
期刊
Expert Systems with Applications
卷号
181
页码范围
115167
出版商
Pergamon
简介
Nowadays, we are moving forward to more sustainable energy production systems based on renewable sources. Among all Photovoltaic (PV) systems are spreading in our cities. In this view, new models are needed to forecast Global Horizontal Solar Irradiance (GHI), which strongly influences PV production. For example, this forecast is crucial to develop novel control strategies for smart grid management. In this paper, we present a novel methodology to forecast GHI in short- and long-term time-horizons, i.e. from next 15 min up to next 24 h. It implements machine learning techniques to achieve this purpose. We start from the analysis of a real-world dataset with different meteorological information including GHI, in the form of time-series. Then, we combined Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and two Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) together with Random Forest (RF) or Long Short Term Memory (LSTM …
引用总数
学术搜索中的文章
D Cannizzaro, A Aliberti, L Bottaccioli, E Macii… - Expert Systems with Applications, 2021