作者
CPIJ Van Hinsbergen, WJ Schakel, VL Knoop, JWC van Lint, SP Hoogendoorn
发表日期
2015/5/28
期刊
Transportmetrica A: Transport Science
卷号
11
期号
5
页码范围
420-440
出版商
Taylor & Francis
简介
Recent research has shown that there exists large heterogeneity in car-following behaviour such that different car-following models best describe different drivers' behaviour. A literature review reveals that current approaches to calibrate and compare different models for one driver do not take the complexity of the models into account or are only able to compare a specific set of models. This contribution applies Bayesian techniques to the calibration of car-following models. The Bayesian framework promotes models that fit the data well but punishes models with a high complexity, resulting in a measure called the evidence. This evidence quantifies how probable each model is to be the model that best describes the car-following behaviour of a single driver. It can be computed for any car-following model. When considered over multiple drivers, the evidences can be used to describe the heterogeneity of the driving …
引用总数
201620172018201920202021202220232024224427451
学术搜索中的文章
C Van Hinsbergen, WJ Schakel, VL Knoop… - Transportmetrica A: Transport Science, 2015