作者
Subodh Dubey*, Prateek Bansal*, Ricardo A Daziano, Erick Guerra
发表日期
2020
期刊
Transportation Research Part B: Methodological
卷号
133
页码范围
114-141
简介
In multinomial response models, idiosyncratic variations in the indirect utility are generally modeled using Gumbel or normal distributions. This study makes a strong case to substitute these thin-tailed distributions with a t-distribution. First, we demonstrate that a model with a t-distributed error kernel better estimates and predicts preferences, especially in class-imbalanced datasets. Our proposed specification also implicitly accounts for decision-uncertainty behavior, i.e. the degree of certainty that decision-makers hold in their choices relative to the variation in the indirect utility of any alternative. Second – after applying a t-distributed error kernel in a multinomial response model for the first time – we extend this specification to a generalized continuous-multinomial (GCM) model and derive its full-information maximum likelihood estimation procedure. The likelihood involves an open-form expression of the cumulative …
引用总数
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