作者
Renee Obringer, Roshanak Nateghi, Debora Maia‐Silva, Sayanti Mukherjee, Vineeth Cr, Douglas Brent McRoberts, Rohini Kumar
发表日期
2022/1
期刊
Earth's Future
卷号
10
期号
1
页码范围
e2021EF002434
简介
Soaring temperatures and increased occurrence of heatwaves have drastically increased air‐conditioning demand, a trend that will likely continue into the future. Yet, the impact of anthropogenic warming on household air conditioning is largely unaccounted for in the operation and planning of energy grids. Here, by leveraging the state‐of‐the‐art in machine learning and climate model projections, we find substantial increases in future residential air conditioning demand across the U.S.—up to 8% with a range of 5%–8.5% (13% with a range of 11%–15%) after anthropogenic warming of 1.5°C (2.0°C) in global mean temperature. To offset this climate‐induced demand, an increase in the efficiency of air conditioners by as much as 8% (±4.5%) compared to current levels is needed; without this daunting technological effort, we estimate that some states will face supply inadequacies of up to 75 million “household …
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R Obringer, R Nateghi, D Maia‐Silva, S Mukherjee… - Earth's Future, 2022