作者
Ramy Abou Ghayda, Keum Hwa Lee, Young Joo Han, Seohyun Ryu, Sung Hwi Hong, Sojung Yoon, Gwang Hun Jeong, Jinhee Lee, Jun Young Lee, Jae Won Yang, Maria Effenberger, Michael Eisenhut, Andreas Kronbichler, Marco Solmi, Han Li, Louis Jacob, Ai Koyanagi, Joaquim Radua, Jae Il Shin, Lee Smith
发表日期
2020/11/1
期刊
International Journal of Infectious Diseases
卷号
100
页码范围
302-308
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Objective
Since the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in December of 2019 in China, estimating the pandemic’s case fatality rate (CFR) has been the focus and interest of many stakeholders. In this manuscript, we prove that the method of using the cumulative CFR is static and does not reflect the trend according to the daily change per unit of time.
Methods
A proportion meta-analysis was carried out on the CFR in every country reporting COVID-19 cases. Based on these results, we performed a meta-analysis for a global COVID-19 CFR. Each analysis was performed using two different calculations of CFR: according to the calendar date and according to the days since the outbreak of the first confirmed case. We thus explored an innovative and original calculation of CFR, concurrently based on the date of the first confirmed case as well as on a daily basis.
Results
For the first time, we showed that …
学术搜索中的文章
R Abou Ghayda, KH Lee, YJ Han, S Ryu, SH Hong… - International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 2020