作者
Andreas Schafer, David G Victor
发表日期
2000/4/1
期刊
Transportation research part a: policy and practice
卷号
34
期号
3
页码范围
171-205
出版商
Pergamon
简介
On average a person spends 1.1h per day traveling and devotes a predictable fraction of income to travel. We show that these time and money budgets are stable over space and time and can be used for projecting future levels of mobility and transport mode. The fixed travel money budget requires that mobility rises nearly in proportion with income. Covering greater distances within the same fixed travel time budget requires that travelers shift to faster modes of transport. The choice of future transport modes is also constrained by path dependence because transport infrastructures change only slowly. In addition, demand for low-speed public transport is partially determined by urban population densities and land-use characteristics. We present a model that incorporates these constraints, which we use for projecting traffic volume and the share of the major motorized modes of transport—automobiles, buses, trains …
引用总数
199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320243781932394345454943544268695561626059413450422917
学术搜索中的文章
A Schafer, DG Victor - Transportation research part a: policy and practice, 2000