作者
Chang-Tai Hsieh, Ralph Ossa
发表日期
2016/9/1
期刊
Journal of international Economics
卷号
102
页码范围
209-224
出版商
North-Holland
简介
How does a country's productivity growth affect worldwide real incomes through international trade? In this paper, we take this classic question to the data by measuring the spillover effects of China's productivity growth. Using a quantitative trade model, we first estimate China's productivity growth between 1995 and 2007 and then isolate what would have happened to real incomes around the world if only China's productivity had changed. We find that the spillover effects are small for all countries in our sample, ranging from a cumulative real income loss of at most −0.2% to a cumulative real income gain of at most 0.2%.
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