作者
Haizhong Wang, Lu Liu, Shangjia Dong, Zhen Qian, Heng Wei
发表日期
2016/9/1
期刊
Transportmetrica B: Transport Dynamics
卷号
4
期号
3
页码范围
159-186
出版商
Taylor & Francis
简介
This paper presents a hybrid short-term traffic speed prediction framework through empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). The goals of this paper are to investigate (1) does the hybrid model provide better short-term traffic conditions (i.e. traffic speeds) than the traditional models? (2) how the performance of the hybrid model varies for varying scenarios such as mixed traffic flow and vehicle-type specific traffic prediction in a work zone, on-ramp, and off-ramp; and (3) why hybrid models provide better prediction than other single-staged models. Using empirical data from a work zone on interstate I91 in Springfield, MA and the on/off-ramp data from the Georgia State Route 400, the proposed hybrid EMD–ARIMA modelling framework is tested in the four distinct scenarios aforementioned. The prediction results of the hybrid EMD–ARIMA model are evaluated …
引用总数
2016201720182019202020212022202320243267182119289