作者
Gurdiljot Singh Gill, Wen Cheng, Meiquan Xie, Tom Vo, Xudong Jia, Jiao Zhou
发表日期
2017/12/1
期刊
Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board
期号
2659
页码范围
117-126
出版商
Transportation Research Board of the National Academies
简介
Many neighborhood weight matrices have been adopted for modeling crash spatial heterogeneity. However, there has been little evaluation of their influence on crash prediction modeling performance. This study investigated 17 spatial-proximity matrices for development of spatial crash prediction models and site ranking with county-level data in California. Of the group of matrices being evaluated, traffic exposure–weighted and population-weighted distance-based matrices were first proposed in the traffic safety field. Bayesian spatial analysis was conducted with a combination of a first-order autoregressive error process and time trend for crashes to address the serial correlation of crashes in successive years. Two diagnostic measures were used for assessment of goodness of fit and complexity of models, and seven evaluation criteria were employed to assess the benefits associated with better-fitting models in …
引用总数
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