作者
Kenji Mizumoto, Katsushi Kagaya, Alexander Zarebski, Gerardo Chowell
发表日期
2020/3/12
期刊
Eurosurveillance
卷号
25
期号
10
页码范围
2000180
出版商
European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control
简介
On 5 February 2020, in Yokohama, Japan, a cruise ship hosting 3,711 people underwent a 2-week quarantine after a former passenger was found with COVID-19 post-disembarking. As at 20 February, 634 persons on board tested positive for the causative virus. We conducted statistical modelling to derive the delay-adjusted asymptomatic proportion of infections, along with the infections’ timeline. The estimated asymptomatic proportion was 17.9% (95% credible interval (CrI): 15.5–20.2%). Most infections occurred before the quarantine start.
引用总数