作者
Doris Folini, Aleksandra Friedl, Felix Kübler, Simon Scheidegger
发表日期
2024/1/30
期刊
Review of Economic Studies
页码范围
rdae011
出版商
Oxford University Press
简介
To analyse climate change mitigation strategies, economists rely on simplified climate models—so-called climate emulators—that provide a realistic quantitative link between emissions and global warming at low computational costs. In this paper, we propose a generic and transparent calibration and evaluation strategy for these climate emulators that are based on freely and easily accessible state-of-the-art benchmark data from climate sciences. We demonstrate that the appropriate choice of the free model parameters can be of key relevance for the predicted social cost of carbon. The key idea we put forward is to calibrate the simplified climate models to benchmark data from comprehensive global climate models that took part in the coupled model intercomparison project, phase 5 (CMIP5). In particular, we propose to use four different test cases that are considered pivotal in the climate science …
引用总数
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学术搜索中的文章
D Folini, A Friedl, F Kübler, S Scheidegger - Review of Economic Studies, 2024