作者
Rocco Caferra, Andrea Morone, Valerio Potì
发表日期
2022/9/1
期刊
Economics Letters
卷号
218
页码范围
110734
出版商
North-Holland
简介
This study explores whether and to what extent cryptocurrency ecosystem network connectivity predicts Bitcoin returns across quantiles of the return distribution. The facets of cryptocurrency ecosystem network connectivity we consider include connectivity between the on- and off-chain segments of the Bitcoin market, the intensity and synchronization of social and traditional crypto-focused media activity, the intensity of network correlations between cryptocurrencies. We identify tail behaviour predictors employing a quantile regression approach. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of several connectivity measures in predicting both price spikes and downfalls, but in a different way before and during the COVID-19 outbreak.
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