作者
Jui-Cheng Hung, Yi-Hsien Wang, Matthew C Chang, Kuang-Hsun Shih, Hsiu-Hsueh Kao
发表日期
2011/5/1
期刊
Energy
卷号
36
期号
5
页码范围
3050-3057
出版商
Pergamon
简介
This paper proposes a four-regime bivariate Markov regime-switching model to estimate the daily time-varying minimum variance hedge ratios for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil, and evaluates its in- and out-of-sample hedging performances with two-regime model, CC-GARCH, TVC-GARCH, and OLS models. Empirical results reveal that the four-regime Markov switching model outperforms the other models for both in- and out-of-sample hedging performance. Based on Hansen’s SPA test (2005), the four-regime model significantly outperforms the other models for only in-sample hedging.
引用总数
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