作者
O Boucher, PR Halloran, EJ Burke, M Doutriaux-Boucher, CD Jones, J Lowe, MA Ringer, E Robertson, P Wu
发表日期
2012/5/9
期刊
Environmental Research Letters
卷号
7
期号
2
页码范围
024013
出版商
IOP Publishing
简介
We use the HadGEM2-ES Earth System model to examine the degree of reversibility of a wide range of components of the Earth System under idealized climate change scenarios where the atmospheric CO 2 concentration is gradually increased to four times the pre-industrial level and then reduced at a similar rate from several points along this trajectory. While some modelled quantities respond almost immediately to the atmospheric CO 2 concentrations, others exhibit a time lag relative to the change in CO 2. Most quantities also exhibit a lag relative to the global-mean surface temperature change, which can be described as a hysteresis behaviour. The most surprising responses are from low-level clouds and ocean stratification in the Southern Ocean, which both exhibit hysteresis on timescales longer than expected. We see no evidence of critical thresholds in these simulations, although some of the hysteresis …
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