作者
Elena Giacomazzi, Felix Haag, Konstantin Hopf
发表日期
2023/5/17
研讨会论文
e-Energy '23: Proceedings of the 14th ACM International Conference on Future Energy Systems
页码范围
353–360
出版商
arXiv preprint arXiv:2305.10559
简介
Recent developments related to the energy transition pose particular challenges for distribution grids. Hence, precise load forecasts become more and more important for effective grid management. Novel modeling approaches such as the Transformer architecture, in particular the Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT), have emerged as promising methods for time series forecasting. To date, just a handful of studies apply TFTs to electricity load forecasting problems, mostly considering only single datasets and a few covariates. Therefore, we examine the potential of the TFT architecture for hourly short-term load forecasting across different time horizons (day-ahead and week-ahead) and network levels (grid and substation level). We find that the TFT architecture does not offer higher predictive performance than a state-of-the-art LSTM model for day-ahead forecasting on the entire grid. However, the results display …
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