作者
Jui-Sheng Chou, Shu-Chien Hsu, Ngoc-Tri Ngo, Chih-Wei Lin, Chia-Chi Tsui
发表日期
2019/1/23
期刊
IEEE Systems Journal
卷号
13
期号
3
页码范围
3120-3128
出版商
IEEE
简介
This study develops a hybrid prediction system to forecast 1-day-ahead electricity consumption of air conditioners in office spaces. The hybrid system combines a linear autoregressive integrated moving average model and a nonlinear nature-inspired metaheuristic optimization-based prediction model. To evaluate the efficacy of the proposed system, a smart grid-based monitoring device was installed in an office space, which consists of smart meters, environmental monitoring sensors, infrared sensors, and fan adjustment systems. Data were retrieved to train and test the proposed system. Sensitivity analyses were performed to identify the optimal parameters of the model and inputs for future use. Evaluation results confirmed that the proposed hybrid system outperformed the conventional linear and nonlinear models, showing good agreement between predicted and actual electricity consumption of air conditioners …
引用总数
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