作者
Andrew Clark, Mark Jit, Charlotte Warren-Gash, Bruce Guthrie, Harry HX Wang, Stewart W Mercer, Colin Sanderson, Martin McKee, Christopher Troeger, Kanyin L Ong, Francesco Checchi, Pablo Perel, Sarah Joseph, Hamish P Gibbs, Amitava Banerjee, Rosalind M Eggo, Emily S Nightingale, Kathleen O'Reilly, Thibaut Jombart, W John Edmunds, Alicia Rosello, Fiona Yueqian Sun, Katherine E Atkins, Nikos I Bosse, Samuel Clifford, Timothy W Russell, Arminder K Deol, Yang Liu, Simon R Procter, Quentin J Leclerc, Graham Medley, Gwen Knight, James D Munday, Adam J Kucharski, Carl AB Pearson, Petra Klepac, Kiesha Prem, Rein MGJ Houben, Akira Endo, Stefan Flasche, Nicholas G Davies, Charlie Diamond, Kevin van Zandvoort, Sebastian Funk, Megan Auzenbergs, Eleanor M Rees, Damien C Tully, Jon C Emery, Billy J Quilty, Sam Abbott, Ch Julian Villabona-Arenas, Stéphane Hué, Joel Hellewell, Amy Gimma, Christopher I Jarvis
发表日期
2020/8/1
期刊
The Lancet Global Health
卷号
8
期号
8
页码范围
e1003-e1017
出版商
Elsevier
简介
Background
The risk of severe COVID-19 if an individual becomes infected is known to be higher in older individuals and those with underlying health conditions. Understanding the number of individuals at increased risk of severe COVID-19 and how this varies between countries should inform the design of possible strategies to shield or vaccinate those at highest risk.
Methods
We estimated the number of individuals at increased risk of severe disease (defined as those with at least one condition listed as "at increased risk of severe COVID-19" in current guidelines) by age (5-year age groups), sex, and country for 188 countries using prevalence data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 and UN population estimates for 2020. The list of underlying conditions relevant to COVID-19 was determined by mapping the conditions listed in GBD 2017 to those listed in guidelines …
学术搜索中的文章
A Clark, M Jit, C Warren-Gash, B Guthrie, HHX Wang… - The Lancet Global Health, 2020