作者
C. Camerer, A. Dreber, F. Holzmeister, T-H. Ho, J. Huber, M. Johannesson, M. Kirchler, G. Nave, B. Nosek, T. Pfeiffer, A. Altmejd, N. Buttrick, T. Chan, Y. Chen, Gampa A. Forsell E., E. Heikensten, L. Hummer, T. Imai, S. Isaksson, D. Manfredi, J. Rose, E-J. Wagenmakers, H. Wu
发表日期
2018/9
期刊
Nature Human Behaviour
卷号
2
页码范围
637-644
出版商
Nature
简介
Being able to replicate scientific findings is crucial for scientific progress, , , , , , , , , , , , , –. We replicate 21 systematically selected experimental studies in the social sciences published in Nature and Science between 2010 and 2015, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , –. The replications follow analysis plans reviewed by the original authors and pre-registered prior to the replications. The replications are high powered, with sample sizes on average about five times higher than in the original studies. We find a significant effect in the same direction as the original study for 13 (62%) studies, and the effect size of the replications is on average about 50% of the original effect size. Replicability varies between 12 (57%) and 14 (67%) studies for complementary replicability indicators. Consistent with these results, the estimated true-positive rate is 67% in a Bayesian analysis. The relative effect size of true positives is estimated to be 71 …
引用总数
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