作者
Riccardo Curtale, Matteo Schiavone, Christoph Deuster, Alfredo Alessandrini, Philipp Ueffing, Fabrizio Natale, Lewis Dijkstra, Filipe Batista e Silva
发表日期
2024/1/10
出版商
EU: European Union
简介
Demographic and economic projections are valuable analytical tools for policy-making, but these are typically produced at country-level aggregations. In this report, we propose a new model that allows to regionalise socioeconomic and demographic projections from the country level to the NUTS3 regional level: the Demography-Economy-Land use interaction (DELi) model. DELi relies on a set of linked equations that integrate empirically-derived assumptions regarding future regional growth, and estimate regional levels of GDP, employment, population and land use recursively and in an integrated manner, thus capturing demography-economy feedbacks as well as ongoing, expected or assumed processes of divergence and convergence across regions. The model can be configured to generate different regionalisation scenarios based on the same or different input country-level projections. DELi was built as a …