作者
Jack Stone, Christinah Mukandavire, Marie‐Claude Boily, Hannah Fraser, Sharmistha Mishra, Sheree Schwartz, Amrita Rao, Katharine J Looker, Matthew Quaife, Fern Terris‐Prestholt, Alexander Marr, Tim Lane, Jenny Coetzee, Glenda Gray, Kennedy Otwombe, Minja Milovanovic, Harry Hausler, Katherine Young, Mfezi Mcingana, Manezi Ncedani, Adrian Puren, Gillian Hunt, Zamakayise Kose, Nancy Phaswana‐Mafuya, Stefan Baral, Peter Vickerman
发表日期
2021/1/1
期刊
African Journal of Reproduction and Gynaecological Endoscopy
卷号
24
期号
1
页码范围
e25650
出版商
Medknow
简介
Introduction: In generalized epidemic settings, there is insufficient understanding of how the unmet HIV prevention and treatment needs of key populations (KPs), such as female sex workers (FSWs) and men who have sex with men (MSM), contribute to HIV transmission. In such settings, it is typically assumed that HIV transmission is driven by the general population. We estimated the contribution of commercial sex, sex between men, and other heterosexual partnerships to HIV transmission in South Africa (SA).
Methods: We developed the “Key-Pop Model”; a dynamic transmission model of HIV among FSWs, their clients, MSM, and the broader population in SA. The model was parameterized and calibrated using demographic, behavioural and epidemiological data from national household surveys and KP surveys. We estimated the contribution of commercial sex, sex between men and sex among heterosexual …
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J Stone, C Mukandavire, MC Boily, H Fraser, S Mishra… - African Journal of Reproduction and Gynaecological …, 2021