作者
Sogol Moradian, Ali Torabi Haghighi, Maryam Asadi, Seyed Ahmad Mirbagheri
发表日期
2023/5
期刊
Water Resources Management
卷号
37
期号
6
页码范围
2447-2463
出版商
Springer Netherlands
简介
Accurate climate projections help policymakers mitigate the negative effects of climatic changes and prioritize environmental issues based on scientific evidences. These projections rely heavily on the outputs of GCMs (General Circulation Models), but the large number of GCMs and their different outputs in each region confuses researchers in their selection. In this paper, we analyzed the performance of a CMIP6 (Climate Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6) multi-model ensemble for Pr (precipitation) data over NE (Northern Europe). First of all, we evaluated the overall performance of 12 CMIP6 models from GCMs in 30 years of 1985–2014. Furthermore, future projections were analyzed between 2071 and 2100 using SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways). Then, simulations were statistically improved using an ensemble method to correct the systematic error of the CMIP6 models and then …
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