作者
Alireza Khotanzad, Enwang Zhou, Hassan Elragal
发表日期
2002/11
期刊
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems
卷号
17
期号
4
页码范围
1273-1282
出版商
IEEE
简介
This paper presents a new approach to short-term load forecasting in a deregulated and price-sensitive environment. A real-time pricing type scenario is envisioned where energy prices could change on an hourly basis with the consumer having the ability to react to the price signal through shifting his electricity usage from expensive hours to other times when possible. The load profile under this scenario would have different characteristics compared to that of the regulated, fixed-price era. Consequently, short-term load forecasting models customized on price-insensitive (PIS) historical data of regulated era would no longer be able to perform well. In this work, a price-sensitive (PS) load forecaster is developed. This forecaster consists of two stages, an artificial neural network based PIS load forecaster followed by a fuzzy logic (FL) system that transforms the PIS load forecasts of the first stage into PS forecasts. The …
引用总数
2003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220234710771161310161911191471256874
学术搜索中的文章