作者
Günter Blöschl, Andrea Kiss, Alberto Viglione, Mariano Barriendos, Oliver Böhm, Rudolf Brázdil, Denis Coeur, Gaston Demarée, Maria Carmen Llasat, Neil Macdonald, Dag Retsö, Lars Roald, Petra Schmocker-Fackel, Inês Amorim, Monika Bělínová, Gerardo Benito, Chiara Bertolin, Dario Camuffo, Daniel Cornel, Radosław Doktor, Líbor Elleder, Silvia Enzi, João Carlos Garcia, Rüdiger Glaser, Julia Hall, Klaus Haslinger, Michael Hofstätter, Jürgen Komma, Danuta Limanówka, David Lun, Andrei Panin, Juraj Parajka, Hrvoje Petrić, Fernando S Rodrigo, Christian Rohr, Johannes Schönbein, Lothar Schulte, Luís Pedro Silva, Willem HJ Toonen, Peter Valent, Jürgen Waser, Oliver Wetter
发表日期
2020/7
期刊
Nature
卷号
583
期号
7817
页码范围
560-566, DOI: 10.1038/s41586-020-2478-3
出版商
Nature Publishing Group
简介
There are concerns that recent climate change is altering the frequency and magnitude of river floods in an unprecedented way 1. Historical studies have identified flood-rich periods in the past half millennium in various regions of Europe 2. However, because of the low temporal resolution of existing datasets and the relatively low number of series, it has remained unclear whether Europe is currently in a flood-rich period from a long-term perspective. Here we analyse how recent decades compare with the flood history of Europe, using a new database composed of more than 100 high-resolution (sub-annual) historical flood series based on documentary evidence covering all major regions of Europe. We show that the past three decades were among the most flood-rich periods in Europe in the past 500 years, and that this period differs from other flood-rich periods in terms of its extent, air temperatures and flood …
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