作者
Huaiyu Tian, Pengbo Yu, Bernard Cazelles, Lei Xu, Hua Tan, Jing Yang, Shanqian Huang, Bo Xu, Jun Cai, Chaofeng Ma, Jing Wei, Shen Li, Jianhui Qu, Marko Laine, Jingjun Wang, Shilu Tong, Nils Chr Stenseth, Bing Xu
发表日期
2017/7/25
期刊
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
卷号
114
期号
30
页码范围
8041-8046
出版商
National Academy of Sciences
简介
Hantavirus, a rodent-borne zoonotic pathogen, has a global distribution with 200,000 human infections diagnosed annually. In recent decades, repeated outbreaks of hantavirus infections have been reported in Eurasia and America. These outbreaks have led to public concern and an interest in understanding the underlying biological mechanisms. Here, we propose a climate–animal–Hantaan virus (HTNV) infection model to address this issue, using a unique dataset spanning a 54-y period (1960–2013). This dataset comes from Central China, a focal point for natural HTNV infection, and includes both field surveillance and an epidemiological record. We reveal that the 8-y cycle of HTNV outbreaks is driven by the confluence of the cyclic dynamics of striped field mouse (Apodemus agrarius) populations and climate variability, at both seasonal and interannual cycles. Two climatic variables play key roles in the …
引用总数
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