作者
Guang Li, Chen-Ching Liu, Chris Mattson, Jacques Lawarrée
发表日期
2007/1/29
期刊
IEEE Transactions on power systems
卷号
22
期号
1
页码范围
266-274
出版商
IEEE
简介
Accurate electricity price forecasting is critical to market participants in wholesale electricity markets. Market participants rely on price forecasts to decide their bidding strategies, allocate assets, negotiate bilateral contracts, hedge risks, and plan facility investments. Market operators can also use electricity price forecasts to predict market power indexes for the purpose of monitoring participants' behaviors. Various forecasting techniques are applied to different time horizons for electricity price forecasting in locational marginal pricing (LMP) spot markets. Available correlated data also have to be selected to improve the short-term forecasting performance. In this paper, fuzzy inference system (FIS), least-squares estimation (LSE), and the combination of FIS and LSE are proposed. Based on extensive testing with various techniques, LSE provides the most accurate results, and FIS, which is also highly accurate, provides …
引用总数
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学术搜索中的文章
G Li, CC Liu, C Mattson, J Lawarrée - IEEE Transactions on power systems, 2007