作者
Joseph Ebinger, Matthew Wells, David Ouyang, Tod Davis, Noy Kaufman, Susan Cheng, Sumeet Chugh
发表日期
2021/1/1
期刊
Intelligence-based medicine
卷号
5
页码范围
100035
出版商
Elsevier
简介
The COVID-19 pandemic has placed unprecedented strain on the healthcare system, particularly hospital bed capacity in the setting of large variations in patient length of stay (LOS). Using electronic health record data from 966 COVID-19 patients at a large academic medical center, we developed three machine learning algorithms to predict the likelihood of prolonged LOS, defined as >8 days. The models included 353 variables and were trained on 80% of the cohort, with 20% used for model validation. The three models were created on hospital days 1, 2 and 3, each including information available at or before that point in time. The models’ predictive capabilities improved sequentially over time, reaching an accuracy of 0.765, with an AUC of 0.819 by day 3. These models, developed using readily available data, may help hospital systems prepare for bed capacity needs, and help clinicians counsel patients on …
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J Ebinger, M Wells, D Ouyang, T Davis, N Kaufman… - Intelligence-based medicine, 2021