作者
Yantao Huang, Kara M Kockelman, Neil Quarles
发表日期
2020/12/1
期刊
Research in Transportation Economics
卷号
84
页码范围
101003
出版商
Elsevier
简介
This paper anticipates the impacts of self-driving or “autonomous” vehicles (AVs), shared AVs, and Atrucks on travel across the Texas Triangle megaregion using year 2040 land use (and network) forecasts. A statewide travel demand model forecasts changes in trip generation, mode and destination choices, and thus vehicle-miles traveled (VMT), congestion, and travel patterns across the megaregion. Results suggest travelers' shifting to more distant destinations, with average person-trip distance rising from 14 to 16 miles. Within-region airline passenger travel is predicted to fall by 82%, as travelers shift to self-driving ground transport options. Without travel demand management (like credit-based congestion pricing and mandated tight headways between AVs), congestion issues will grow, due to an average 47% VMT increase, especially in the region's major cities (Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, and Austin …
引用总数
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