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With one of the wildest, roughest, and nastiest presidential campaigns in modern American history now thankfully behind us and with late vote returns trickling in to a final official count, it is time to take stock of the 2016 election forecasts. 1

The Presidential Forecasts From late June to early September, eight forecasters or teams of forecasters in the PS symposium issued ten presidential election forecasts of the national two-party popular vote (along with the PollyVote composite forecast assembled from an array of different types of forecasts). To avoid any misrepresentation or misunderstanding, it should be emphasized that these forecasts were explicitly of the national two-party popular vote for the major party candidates and not their electoral vote division. 2 The final vote count indicates 65.9 million votes were cast for Clinton and about 63.0 million for Trump, providing Clinton with a 2.9 million national popular vote …