作者
Erin Baker, Senay Solak
发表日期
2014/3
期刊
Production and Operations Management
卷号
23
期号
3
页码范围
348-365
出版商
SAGE Publications
简介
Operations management methods have been applied profitably to a wide range of technology portfolio management problems, but have been slow to be adopted by governments and policy makers. We develop a framework that allows us to apply such techniques to a large and important public policy problem: energy technology R&D portfolio management under climate change. We apply a multi‐model approach, implementing probabilistic data derived from expert elicitations into a novel stochastic programming version of a dynamic integrated assessment model. We note that while the unifying framework we present can be applied to a range of models and data sets, the specific results depend on the data and assumptions used and therefore may not be generalizable. Nevertheless, the results are suggestive, and we find that the optimal technology portfolio for the set of projects considered is fairly robust to …
引用总数
2011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202412423785362572