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Candidemia is a highly lethal infection; several scores have been developed to assist the diagnosis process and recently different models have been proposed. Aim of this work was to assess predictive performance of a Random Forest (RF) algorithm for early detection of candidemia in the internal medical wards (IMWs).

A set of 42 potential predictors was acquired in a sample of 295 patients (male: 142, age: 72 ± 15 years; candidemia: 157/295; bacteremia: 138/295). Using tenfold cross-validation, a RF algorithm was compared with a classic stepwise multivariable logistic regression model; discriminative performance was assessed by C-statistics, sensitivity and specificity, while calibration was evaluated by Hosmer–Lemeshow test.

The best tuned RF algorithm demonstrated excellent discrimination (C-statistics = 0.874 ± 0.003, sensitivity = 84.24% ± 0.67%, specificity …