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This paper proposes that high value on the work-life balance, compensation, career opportunity and fitness of culture and management style would improve job satisfaction. A turnover risk prediction model based on the random forest is constructed to understand the turnover risk feature and identify risk. Using a sample of 17,724 online reviews of employees from Glassdoor, the positive effect of antecedents, the job satisfaction variable as a mediator, and the unemployment rate variable as a moderator is verified. Finally, job satisfaction is identified as the most important feature for predicting turnover based on the random forest algorithm.