作者
Asad J Khattak, Jun Liu, Behram Wali, Xiaobing Li, ManWo Ng
发表日期
2016
期刊
Transportation Research Record
卷号
2554
期号
1
页码范围
139-148
出版商
SAGE Publications
简介
Traffic incidents occur frequently on urban roadways and cause incident-induced congestion. Predicting incident duration is a key step in managing these events. Ordinary least squares (OLS) regression models can be estimated to relate the mean of incident duration data with its correlates. Because of the presence of larger incidents, duration distributions are often right-skewed; that is, the OLS model underpredicts the durations of larger incidents. Therefore, this study applies a modeling technique known as quantile regression to predict more accurately the skewed distribution of incident durations. Quantile regression estimates the relationships between correlates and a chosen percentile—for example, the 75th or 95th percentile—while the OLS regression is based on the mean of incident duration. With the use of incident data related to more than 85,000 (2013 to 2015) incidents for highways in the Hampton …
引用总数
201720182019202020212022202320241071013119165
学术搜索中的文章
AJ Khattak, J Liu, B Wali, X Li, MW Ng - Transportation Research Record, 2016