作者
Nadia Rosmalita Sari, Wayan Firdaus Mahmudy, Aji Prasetya Wibawa
发表日期
2016
期刊
International Journal of Advances in Soft Computing and its Applications
卷号
8
期号
3
页码范围
70-87
出版商
UTM Big Data Centre, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
简介
Inflation is the increase of prices of goods that can affect other prices of goods. Inflation is a main economic problem often faced by society. This economic problem could cause detrimental economic, political, and social effects. Inflation can be caused by a variety of sources. One of them comes from imported goods. Therefore, forecasting is needed to find out the inflation rate in the future. Inflation forecasting can be used to prepare government policies to keep inflation at a low level. In addition, the forecasting results can also be utilized by all members of the society. This study proposed the Backpropagation Neural Network method to forecast the inflation rate in the future. This study used time-series data of inflation rate and CPI (Consumer Price Index). The tested data resulted in a forecast. The RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) technique was used to test the accuracy of the forecasting results. This study also implemented the Sugeno FIS model as a comparison method. The result showed that the performance of the proposed method is better than the comparison method with an RMSE value of 0.204.
引用总数
20172018201920202021202220232024677512551
学术搜索中的文章