作者
Omid Orang, Rodrigo Silva, Petrônio Cândido de Lima e Silva, Frederico Gadelha Guimarães
发表日期
2020/7/19
研讨会论文
2020 IEEE international conference on fuzzy systems (FUZZ-IEEE)
页码范围
1-8
出版商
IEEE
简介
Various studies indicate that Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) methods can obtain high accuracy in a variety of forecasting applciations. However, weighted FTS methods tend to show superiority in contrast to weightless ones. This study exploits the use of Fuzzy Cognitive Map (FCM) technique to generate the rules in the knowledge base for the FTS forecasting method. The proposed hybrid method, named HFCM-FTS, combines High Order Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (HFCM) and High Order Fuzzy Time Series (HOFTS), where the weight matrices associated with the state transitions are learned via the genetic algorithm from the data. The objective of FCM is to find the weight matrices that model the causal relations among the concepts defined in the Universe of Discourse. As a case study, we consider solar energy forecasting with public data for Brazilian solar stations from the year 2012 to 2015. The proposed HFCM-FTS is …
引用总数
202020212022202320241755
学术搜索中的文章
O Orang, R Silva, PCL e Silva, FG Guimarães - 2020 IEEE international conference on fuzzy systems …, 2020