作者
Chen Tang, Wei Zhan, Masayoshi Tomizuka
发表日期
2022/10/23
研讨会论文
2022 IEEE/RSJ International Conference on Intelligent Robots and Systems (IROS)
页码范围
11409-11415
出版商
IEEE
简介
Conditional behavior prediction (CBP) builds up the foundation for a coherent interactive prediction and plan-ning framework that can enable more efficient and less conser-vative maneuvers in interactive scenarios. In CBP task, we train a prediction model approximating the posterior distribution of target agents' future trajectories conditioned on the future trajectory of an assigned ego agent. However, we argue that CBP may provide overly confident anticipation on how the autonomous agent may influence the target agents' behavior. Consequently, it is risky for the planner to query a CBP model. Instead, we should treat the planned trajectory as an intervention and let the model learn the trajectory distribution under intervention. We refer to it as the interventional behavior prediction (IBP) task. Moreover, to properly evaluate an IBP model with offline datasets, we propose a Shapley-value-based metric to verify if the …
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