作者
Shahab MohammadEbrahimi, Behzad Kiani, Zahra Rahmatinejad, Stefan Baral, Soheil Hashtarkhani, Mohammad Dehghan-Tezerjani, Elahe Zare, Mahnaz Arian, Fatemeh Kiani, Mohammad Mehdi Gouya, Mohammad Nasr Dadras, Mohammad Karamouzian
发表日期
2022/12/13
期刊
PloS one
卷号
17
期号
12
页码范围
e0278900
出版商
Public Library of Science
简介
Introduction
Seasonal influenza is a significant public health challenge worldwide. This study aimed to investigate the epidemiological characteristics and spatial patterns of severe hospitalized influenza cases confirmed by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) in Iran.
Methods
Data were obtained from Iran’s Ministry of Health and Medical Education and included all hospitalized lab-confirmed influenza cases from January 1, 2016, to December 30, 2018 (n = 9146). The Getis-Ord Gi* and Local Moran’s I statistics were used to explore the hotspot areas and spatial cluster/outlier patterns of influenza. We also built a multivariable logistic regression model to identify covariates associated with patients’ mortality.
Results
Cumulative incidence and mortality rate were estimated at 11.44 and 0.49 (per 100,000), respectively, and case fatality rate was estimated at 4.35%. The patients’ median age was 40 (interquartile range: 22–63), and 55.5% (n = 5073) were female. The hotspot and cluster analyses revealed high-risk areas in northern parts of Iran, especially in cold, humid, and densely populated areas. Moreover, influenza hotspots were more common during the colder months of the year, especially in high-elevated regions. Mortality was significantly associated with older age (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 1.01, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01–1.02), infection with virus type-A (aOR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.27–2.15), male sex (aOR: 1.77, 95% CI: 1.44–2.18), cardiovascular disease (aOR: 1.71, 95% CI: 1.33–2.20), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (aOR: 1.82, 95% CI: 1.40–2.34), malignancy (aOR: 4.77, 95% CI: 2.87–7.62), and grade-II obesity (aOR: 2.11 …
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