作者
Daniel A Uhr, Julia G Uhr, Regis A Ely
发表日期
2017/1/1
期刊
Economics Bulletin
卷号
37
期号
3
页码范围
1-16
出版商
AccessEcon
简介
We use a synthetic control approach for performing a case study of the impact of Economic Reforms and Democracy Openness on Chile's GDP per capita. We use data available at the World Bank Open Data from 1976 to 2014 for different countries in order to build a synthetic “authoritarian Chile” and compare it with the “real Chile”. We find a significant positive effect of the process of re-democratization on Chile's long-term GDP per capita. The results are robust to placebo tests and time series methods such as endogenous structural break tests and an analysis of causal impact based on the forecasts of a Bayesian Structural Time Series model.
引用总数
2017201820192020202120222023202421113
学术搜索中的文章