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Mark Himmelstein
标题
引用次数
引用次数
年份
Forecasting forecaster accuracy: Contributions of past performance and individual differences
M Himmelstein, P Atanasov, DV Budescu
Judgment and Decision Making 16 (2), 323-362, 2021
332021
Preference for human or algorithmic forecasting advice does not predict if and how it is used
M Himmelstein, DV Budescu
Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 2022
312022
Improving accuracy by coherence weighting of direct and ratio probability judgments
Y Fan, DV Budescu, D Mandel, M Himmelstein
Decision Analysis 16 (3), 197-217, 2019
272019
SAGE: A hybrid geopolitical event forecasting system
F Morstatter, A Galstyan, G Satyukov, D Benjamin, A Abeliuk, M Mirtaheri, ...
28th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, IJCAI 2019 …, 2019
272019
Hybrid forecasting of geopolitical events
DM Benjamin, F Morstatter, AE Abbas, A Abeliuk, P Atanasov, S Bennett, ...
AI Magazine 44 (1), 112-128, 2023
232023
The wisdom of many in few: Finding individuals who are as wise as the crowd.
M Himmelstein, DV Budescu, EH Ho
Journal of Experimental Psychology: General 152 (5), 1223–1244, 2023
222023
The wisdom of timely crowds
M Himmelstein, DV Budescu, Y Han
Judgment in predictive analytics, 215-242, 2023
182023
Talent spotting in crowd prediction
P Atanasov, M Himmelstein
Judgment in predictive analytics, 135-184, 2023
152023
Decline, adopt or compromise? A dual hurdle model for advice utilization
M Himmelstein
Journal of Mathematical Psychology 110, 102695, 2022
122022
The impact of sleep on the relationship between soccer heading exposure and neuropsychological function in college-age soccer players
CF Levitch, E McConathey, M Aghvinian, M Himmelstein, ML Lipton, ...
Journal of the International Neuropsychological Society 26 (7), 633-644, 2020
102020
Measuring probabilistic coherence to identify superior forecasters
EH Ho, DV Budescu, M Himmelstein
International Journal of Forecasting, 2024
32024
The Forecasting Proficiency Test: A General Use Assessment of Forecasting Ability
M Himmelstein, SM Zhu, N Petrov, E Karger, J Helmer, S Livnat, P Hedley, ...
Journal of Forecasting Studies, 2024
22024
The psychometric properties of probability and quantile forecasts
SM Zhu, DV Budescu, N Petrov, E Karger, M Himmelstein
Preprint, 2024
12024
Modeling Boundary Inflation in Advice Utilization
M Himmelstein
Multivariate Behavioral Research 57 (1), 161-162, 2022
12022
Identifying good forecasters via adaptive cognitive tests
EC Merkle, N Petrov, SM Zhu, E Karger, PE Tetlock, M Himmelstein
arXiv preprint arXiv:2411.11126, 2024
2024
The Elicitation Methods Comparison study
N Petrov, E Karger, M Himmelstein, SM Zhu, A Bennett, J Helmer
OSF, 2024
2024
Structural Evaluation (Study 2)
M Himmelstein, E Karger, SM Zhu, N Petrov, A Bennett
OSF, 2024
2024
Measurement Reactivity in Advice Taking: Baseball Predictions
M Himmelstein
OSF, 2023
2023
A Holistic Bayesian Approach to Addressing Measurement Reactivity with a Planned Missing Data Design
M Himmelstein, D Budescu
2023
A Bayesian Approach for Using Planned Missingness to Address Measurement Reactivity
M Himmelstein
Multivariate Behavioral Research 58 (1), 133-134, 2023
2023
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