| Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information JY Lee, J Marotzke, G Bala, L Cao, S Corti, JP Dunne, F Engelbrecht, ... Climate change 2021: The physical science basis. Contribution of working …, 2021 | 608 | 2021 |
| Dependence of the evolution of carbon dynamics in the northern permafrost region on the trajectory of climate change AD McGuire, DM Lawrence, C Koven, JS Clein, E Burke, G Chen, ... Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (15), 3882-3887, 2018 | 382 | 2018 |
| Significant contribution to climate warming from the permafrost carbon feedback AH MacDougall, CA Avis, AJ Weaver Nature Geoscience 5 (10), 719-721, 2012 | 288* | 2012 |
| A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the permafrost carbon–climate feedback CD Koven, EAG Schuur, C Schädel, TJ Bohn, EJ Burke, G Chen, X Chen, ... Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical …, 2015 | 199 | 2015 |
| On the proportionality between global temperature change and cumulative CO2 emissions during periods of net negative CO2 emissions K Zickfeld, AH MacDougall, HD Matthews Environmental Research Letters 11 (5), 055006, 2016 | 170 | 2016 |
| Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from AH MacDougall, TL Frölicher, CD Jones, J Rogelj, HD Matthews, ... Biogeosciences 17 (11), 2987-3016, 2020 | 149 | 2020 |
| Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009 AD McGuire, C Koven, DM Lawrence, JS Clein, J Xia, C Beer, E Burke, ... Global Biogeochemical Cycles 30 (7), 1015-1037, 2016 | 132 | 2016 |
| Opportunities and challenges in using remaining carbon budgets to guide climate policy HD Matthews, KB Tokarska, ZRJ Nicholls, J Rogelj, JG Canadell, ... Nature Geoscience 13 (12), 769-779, 2020 | 119 | 2020 |
| The origin and limits of the near proportionality between climate warming and cumulative CO2 emissions AH MacDougall, P Friedlingstein Journal of Climate 28 (10), 4217-4230, 2015 | 110 | 2015 |
| An integrated approach to quantifying uncertainties in the remaining carbon budget H Damon Matthews, KB Tokarska, J Rogelj, CJ Smith, AH MacDougall, ... Communications Earth & Environment 2 (1), 7, 2021 | 108 | 2021 |
| Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks and non-CO2 forcings AH MacDougall, K Zickfeld, R Knutti, HD Matthews Environmental Research Letters 10 (12), 125003, 2015 | 91 | 2015 |
| Spatial and temporal transferability of a distributed energy-balance glacier melt model AH MacDougall, GE Flowers Journal of Climate 24 (5), 1480-1498, 2011 | 81 | 2011 |
| The Transient Response to Cumulative CO2 Emissions: a Review AH MacDougall Current Climate Change Reports 2 (1), 39-47, 2016 | 77 | 2016 |
| The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions CD Jones, TL Frölicher, C Koven, AH MacDougall, HD Matthews, ... Geoscientific Model Development 12 (10), 4375-4385, 2019 | 74 | 2019 |
| The uncertainty in the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions arising from the uncertainty in physical climate parameters AH MacDougall, NC Swart, R Knutti Journal of Climate 30 (2), 813-827, 2017 | 65 | 2017 |
| Projecting the release of carbon from permafrost soils using a perturbed parameter ensemble modelling approach AH MacDougall, R Knutti Biogeosciences 13 (7), 2123, 2016 | 64 | 2016 |
| Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region J Xia, AD McGuire, D Lawrence, E Burke, G Chen, X Chen, C Delire, ... Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 122 (2), 430-446, 2017 | 56 | 2017 |
| Evaluation of air–soil temperature relationships simulated by land surface models during winter across the permafrost region W Wang, A Rinke, JC Moore, D Ji, X Cui, S Peng, DM Lawrence, ... The Cryosphere 10 (4), 1721-1737, 2016 | 54 | 2016 |
| Heat stored in the Earth system 1960–2020: where does the energy go? K Von Schuckmann, A Minière, F Gues, FJ Cuesta-Valero, G Kirchengast, ... Earth System Science Data 15 (4), 1675-1709, 2023 | 49 | 2023 |
| Reversing climate warming by artificial atmospheric carbon‐dioxide removal: Can a Holocene‐like climate be restored? AH MacDougall Geophysical Research Letters 40 (20), 5480-5485, 2013 | 49 | 2013 |
