The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak M Chinazzi, JT Davis, M Ajelli, C Gioannini, M Litvinova, S Merler, ... Science 368 (6489), 395-400, 2020 | 4229 | 2020 |
Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China J Zhang, M Litvinova, Y Liang, Y Wang, W Wang, S Zhao, Q Wu, S Merler, ... Science 368 (6498), 1481-1486, 2020 | 1276 | 2020 |
Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19 A Aleta, D Martín-Corral, AP y Piontti, M Ajelli, M Litvinova, M Chinazzi, ... Nature Human Behaviour 4 (9), 964-971, 2020 | 855* | 2020 |
Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study J Zhang, M Litvinova, W Wang, Y Wang, X Deng, X Chen, M Li, W Zheng, ... The Lancet Infectious Diseases 20 (7), 793-802, 2020 | 808 | 2020 |
The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy D Cereda, M Manica, M Tirani, F Rovida, V Demicheli, M Ajelli, P Poletti, ... Epidemics 37, 100528, 2021 | 495* | 2021 |
Transmission heterogeneities, kinetics, and controllability of SARS-CoV-2 K Sun, W Wang, L Gao, Y Wang, K Luo, L Ren, Z Zhan, X Chen, S Zhao, ... Science 371 (6526), eabe2424, 2021 | 426 | 2021 |
Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: Agent-based versus structured metapopulation models M Ajelli, B Gonçalves, D Balcan, V Colizza, H Hu, J Ramasco, S Merler, ... BMC Infectious Diseases 10 (1), 190, 2010 | 365 | 2010 |
The role of population heterogeneity and human mobility in the spread of pandemic influenza S Merler, M Ajelli Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 277 (1681), 557-565, 2010 | 351 | 2010 |
Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis S Merler, M Ajelli, L Fumanelli, MFC Gomes, AP y Piontti, L Rossi, ... The Lancet Infectious Diseases 384 (9961), 2201-2206, 2015 | 324* | 2015 |
Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases and estimates of the reproductive numbers 1 month into the epidemic, Italy, 28 January to 31 March 2020 F Riccardo, M Ajelli, XD Andrianou, A Bella, M Del Manso, M Fabiani, ... Eurosurveillance 25 (49), 2000790, 2020 | 307* | 2020 |
Association of Age With Likelihood of Developing Symptoms and Critical Disease Among Close Contacts Exposed to Patients With Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Italy P Poletti, M Tirani, D Cereda, F Trentini, G Guzzetta, G Sabatino, ... JAMA Network Open 4 (3), e211085-e211085, 2021 | 269* | 2021 |
Serological evidence of human infection with SARS-CoV-2: a systematic review and meta-analysis X Chen, Z Chen, AS Azman, X Deng, X Chen, W Lu, Z Zhao, J Yang, ... The Lancet Global Health 9 (5), E598-E609, 2021 | 255 | 2021 |
Measurability of the epidemic reproduction number in data-driven contact networks QH Liu, M Ajelli, A Aleta, S Merler, Y Moreno, A Vespignani Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 115 (50), 12680-12685, 2018 | 248 | 2018 |
The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt C Viboud, K Sun, R Gaffey, M Ajelli, L Fumanelli, S Merler, Q Zhang, ... Epidemics 22, 13-21, 2018 | 242* | 2018 |
Modeling transmission of SARS-CoV-2 omicron in China J Cai, X Deng, J Yang, K Sun, H Liu, Z Chen, C Peng, X Chen, Q Wu, ... Nature Medicine 28 (7), 1468-1475, 2022 | 239 | 2022 |
The effect of risk perception on the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza dynamics P Poletti, M Ajelli, S Merler PLOS ONE 6 (2), e16460, 2011 | 225 | 2011 |
Inferring the structure of social contacts from demographic data in the analysis of infectious diseases spread L Fumanelli, M Ajelli, P Manfredi, A Vespignani, S Merler PLOS Computational Biology 8 (9), e1002673, 2012 | 223 | 2012 |
Mitigation measures for pandemic influenza in Italy: an individual based model considering different scenarios ML Ciofi degli Atti, S Merler, C Rizzo, M Ajelli, M Massari, P Manfredi, ... PLOS ONE 3 (3), e1790, 2008 | 223 | 2008 |
Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling D Mistry, M Litvinova, AP y Piontti, M Chinazzi, L Fumanelli, MFC Gomes, ... Nature Communications 12, 323, 2021 | 220 | 2021 |
Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics P Poletti, B Caprile, M Ajelli, A Pugliese, S Merler Journal of Theoretical Biology 260 (1), 31-40, 2009 | 201 | 2009 |