The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy D Cereda, M Manica, M Tirani, F Rovida, V Demicheli, M Ajelli, P Poletti, ... Epidemics 37, 100528, 2021 | 476* | 2021 |
Spread of Zika virus in the Americas Q Zhang, K Sun, M Chinazzi, A Pastore y Piontti, NE Dean, DP Rojas, ... Proceedings of the national academy of sciences 114 (22), E4334-E4343, 2017 | 338 | 2017 |
Epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 cases and estimates of the reproductive numbers 1 month into the epidemic, Italy, 28 January to 31 March 2020 F Riccardo, M Ajelli, XD Andrianou, A Bella, M Del Manso, M Fabiani, ... Eurosurveillance 25 (49), 2000790, 2020 | 306* | 2020 |
Association of age with likelihood of developing symptoms and critical disease among close contacts exposed to patients with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection in Italy P Poletti, M Tirani, D Cereda, F Trentini, G Guzzetta, G Sabatino, ... JAMA network open 4 (3), e211085-e211085, 2021 | 264* | 2021 |
The effect of risk perception on the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza dynamics P Poletti, M Ajelli, S Merler PloS one 6 (2), e16460, 2011 | 224 | 2011 |
Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics P Poletti, B Caprile, M Ajelli, A Pugliese, S Merler Journal of theoretical biology 260 (1), 31-40, 2009 | 200 | 2009 |
Transmission potential of chikungunya virus and control measures: the case of Italy P Poletti, G Messeri, M Ajelli, R Vallorani, C Rizzo, S Merler PloS one 6 (5), e18860, 2011 | 164 | 2011 |
Impact of a nationwide lockdown on SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility, Italy G Guzzetta, F Riccardo, V Marziano, P Poletti, F Trentini, A Bella, ... Emerging infectious diseases 27 (1), 267, 2021 | 156* | 2021 |
Risk perception and effectiveness of uncoordinated behavioral responses in an emerging epidemic P Poletti, M Ajelli, S Merler Mathematical Biosciences 238 (2), 80-89, 2012 | 152 | 2012 |
Age-specific SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality ratio and associated risk factors, Italy, February to April 2020 P Poletti, M Tirani, D Cereda, F Trentini, G Guzzetta, V Marziano, S Buoro, ... Eurosurveillance 25 (31), 2001383, 2020 | 112* | 2020 |
Despite vaccination, China needs non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent widespread outbreaks of COVID-19 in 2021 J Yang, V Marziano, X Deng, G Guzzetta, J Zhang, F Trentini, J Cai, ... Nature human behaviour 5 (8), 1009-1020, 2021 | 110* | 2021 |
Evaluation of waning of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine–induced immunity: a systematic review and meta-analysis F Menegale, M Manica, A Zardini, G Guzzetta, V Marziano, V d'Andrea, ... JAMA Network Open 6 (5), e2310650-e2310650, 2023 | 109 | 2023 |
Social contact structures and time use patterns in the Manicaland Province of Zimbabwe A Melegaro, E Del Fava, P Poletti, S Merler, C Nyamukapa, J Williams, ... PloS one 12 (1), e0170459, 2017 | 101 | 2017 |
Retrospective analysis of the Italian exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown V Marziano, G Guzzetta, BM Rondinone, F Boccuni, F Riccardo, A Bella, ... Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118 (4), e2019617118, 2021 | 98 | 2021 |
The impact of vaccine side effects on the natural history of immunization programmes: an imitation-game approach A d’Onofrio, P Manfredi, P Poletti Journal of theoretical biology 273 (1), 63-71, 2011 | 90 | 2011 |
Perspectives on the impact of varicella immunization on herpes zoster. A model-based evaluation from three European countries P Poletti, A Melegaro, M Ajelli, E Del Fava, G Guzzetta, L Faustini, ... PloS one 8 (4), e60732, 2013 | 88 | 2013 |
The interplay of public intervention and private choices in determining the outcome of vaccination programmes A d’Onofrio, P Manfredi, P Poletti Public Library of Science 7 (10), e45653, 2012 | 84 | 2012 |
Seroprevalence of and risk factors associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection in health care workers during the early COVID-19 pandemic in Italy P Poletti, M Tirani, D Cereda, G Guzzetta, F Trentini, V Marziano, C Toso, ... JAMA network open 4 (7), e2115699-e2115699, 2021 | 80 | 2021 |
Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020 G Guzzetta, P Poletti, M Ajelli, F Trentini, V Marziano, D Cereda, M Tirani, ... Eurosurveillance 25 (12), 2000293, 2020 | 76 | 2020 |
Optimal vaccination choice, vaccination games, and rational exemption: an appraisal P Manfredi, P Della Posta, A d’Onofrio, E Salinelli, F Centrone, C Meo, ... Vaccine 28 (1), 98-109, 2009 | 76 | 2009 |